{"id":2844,"date":"2015-11-22T22:50:44","date_gmt":"2015-11-23T05:50:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.dresan.com\/blog\/?p=2844"},"modified":"2017-04-08T21:11:48","modified_gmt":"2017-04-09T04:11:48","slug":"what-if-im-wrong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/2015\/11\/22\/what-if-im-wrong\/","title":{"rendered":"What If I’m Wrong?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"DSC01739.JPG\"<\/p>\n

Recently I went on the record about a seemingly self-destructive speech by Donald Trump. By going on the record, you can test your predictions. For the benefit of those who don\u2019t care a whit, I predicted (more or less) that Donald Trump was deliberately self-destructing (or laying the groundwork for it) and Scott Adams predicted Donald Trump was going after Carson. A little time has gone by; let\u2019s look at those polls.<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2016\/president\/us\/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html<\/a>
\n\"Screenshot<\/p>\n

By my scorecard, that\u2019s Scott Adams 1, Anthony Francis, 0. Of course, time will tell, and things have happened recently to change the game (for example, 5 major terrorist attacks in 5 countries around the world, in which even I will admit Trump sounds better suited than Carson, sorry). But the hypothesis that he was deliberately self-destructing was at least premature, and the hypothesis that he\u2019s trying to nail Carson seems good. Certainly, in the last few weeks, Trump\u2019s popularity has risen to that of, say, Bernie Sanders, so he must be doing something right.<\/p>\n

As Scott might remind you, it\u2019s not good to bet against popular internet cartoonists. They might be right. On the other hand, I think the words \u201cI was wrong\u201d are three of the most beautiful words in the English language. They\u2019re a sign of learning.<\/p>\n

-the Centaur<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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