{"id":2865,"date":"2015-12-01T02:27:37","date_gmt":"2015-12-01T09:27:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.dresan.com\/blog\/?p=2865"},"modified":"2017-04-08T21:11:48","modified_gmt":"2017-04-09T04:11:48","slug":"perhaps-i-spoke-too-soon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/2015\/12\/01\/perhaps-i-spoke-too-soon\/","title":{"rendered":"Perhaps I Spoke Too Soon &#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.dresan.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/20140725_201514_HDR.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"450\" alt=\"20140725_201514_HDR.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u2026 when I claimed Scott Adams appeared to be right on the question of Donald Trump\u2019s supposed meltdown. Scott, as you recall, claimed this was part of an elaborate three dimensional game of chess designed to trounce Carson, whereas I was claiming that Trump was possibly sabotaging his own campaign. Trump\u2019s initial bounce and Carson\u2019s stumble led me to award this to Adams.<\/p>\n<p>Since then, Trump has publicly mocked a handicapped reporter, and demanded CNN cough up five million dollars to appear at the next debate. My predictive filter says Trump\u2019s doing more self-sabotage. Scott\u2019s filter says Trump will suffer a slight dip, then increase in the polls. Trump is actually just increasing in the polls, no dip. So, um, advantage to Scott, me, randomness?<\/p>\n<p>My high school history teacher\u2019s predictive filter would say, \u201cPopulist demagogues are always popular.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Your predictive mileage may vary.<\/p>\n<p>-the Centaur<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2026 when I claimed Scott Adams appeared to be right on the question of Donald Trump\u2019s supposed meltdown. Scott, as you recall, claimed this was part of an elaborate three&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[196,1],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-2865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-uncategorized","tag-politics","ratio-2-1","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2865","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2865"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2865\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3852,"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2865\/revisions\/3852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2865"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2865"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dresan.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2865"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}